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Pakistan’s economy presents a story of continuous
growth with rare cases of stagnancy. In the whole period
of the country’s history since it earned independence
in 1947, the major stress has been on capital formation,
on the one hand, and on alleviation of the people’s
poverty and elimination of socio-economic inequalities,
on the other. But never before in the history, such
concrete measures were adopted for distribution of wealth
equitably as have been done by the political government
which came as a result of general elections held in
1985 in the country. Programs chalked out at the political
level by the present elected government, when brought
within the framework of the Annual Development Programs
of the last two years of the country’s Sixth Five-Year
Development Plan and within the fiscal policies as embodied
in the annual budgets, are definitely leading the country
towards a breakthrough both in economic management and
public welfare measures. it is a qualitative leap towards
the concept of a welfare state which becomes more meaningful
at a time when Pakistan has joined the middle income
group of the countries of the world with its per capita
income going up to Rs. 5,344 at the end of 1985-86.
According to World Bank figures, Pakistan’s per
capita income of 390 American dollars as early as in
1983, was exceeded only by countries accounting for
about 52.2 per cent of the world’s population,
while 45.9 per cent of the world’s population
had a per capita income lower than Pakistan’s.
The growth story begins with the country’s independence.
In the first decade of independence, the Government’s
attention and resources were taken up by the urgent
problems of setting up an administrative machinery and
the settlement of refugees. The small surplus of financial
and organisational resources over and above the requirements
of these tasks were devoted to expanding and maintaining
the physical and social infrastructure. The productive
sectors were largely left to private enterprise. This
was particularly true in the sphere of manufacturing
where reliance was placed on the private sector for
providing finances and entrepreneurial skills to take
the pioneering steps in the industrialisation of the
country.
The private sector responded to the policy of a sort
of mixed economy with fervor and demonstrated entrepreneurial
capability and managerial skill in setting up and managing
the consumer goods industry. The endeavors of the private
sector were buttressed by the fiscal and monetary policies
of the government and its financial agencies. Industrialisation
process thus soon got off the ground to a good start.
The public sector had also its positive role. It was
instrumental in meeting some of the basic and essential
requirements of the private sector like infrastructural
facilities and long-term financing in both foreign and
local currencies. Direct undertaking of high risk and
long-gestation projects in the public sector had also
become the need of the hour. The requirements to set
up industries for betterment of socioeCOflOmiC conditions
in the g~rnnarativelv backward areas of the country
as well as acquisition of new technology to further
stimulate the process of industrialisation were to be
met. This job which involved mobilising massive resources
and acquiring modem technology could not be left to
the private sector. For this, state intervention was
a must.
Consequently, the first public sector enterprise with
a commercial bias was set up in 1950. Designated as
Pakistan Industrial Development Corporation (PIDC),
it was assigned the responsibility of setting up heavy
engineering, fertilizer, jute, cement and chemical industries.
During the second decade of independence, the public
sector was encouraged for purely pragmatic reasons,
with no ideological aversion or prejudice of the policy
makers against the private sector. Similarly, the private
sector did not view this innovative and pioneering role
of the public sector with any sense of hostility. On
the other hand, a spirit of healthy rivalry and mutual
complimentarily began to develop gradually. Some laudable
examples of joint ventures between the two sectors also
characterised the decade of the 1960s.
In the first half of the 1970s, the role of the public
sector was, however, drastically changed to that of
a sector designed to control the “commanding heights”
of the economy under a distorted political concept.
In the process, the unnatural and too fast expansion
of the public sector sorely overstrained the resources
of personnel, funds, expertise and organisation. As
a result, economic disruption of a very high magnitude
was witnessed during the period.
The policies adopted in the post-1977 period have,
however, restored the balance to a considerable extent.
The new policy aimed at restoring the confidence in
the market mechanism and envisaged a more active role
for the private sector in industrial investment. The
present elected government has infused a further sense
of pragmatism. The policy line was given by President
Zia-ul-Haq himself who said during his visit to Korea
that his Government did not want to run both administration
and business. So the public sector industries are being
disinvested under a planned and phased program, while
only the big and the ‘utility’ industries
are being kept in the public sector.
land, while the land was actually being cultivated by
tenants without any interest or right on the land and
with only a little share in the crops. The tenants being
generally poor as were the small farmers, they could
use only primitive farming techniques.
The nation could not pay proper attention to agriculture
in the early years of independence. This sector did
not get due priority in First Plan period and thus its
annual growth rate stagnated at 2.1 per cent during
the 1955-60 period. However, by the late 1950s, a realisation
dawned on the policy makers that without speedy agricultural
growth, the country would not be able to march ahead
in the struggle for achieving economic self-reliance.
So, during the Second Plan, concerted efforts were made
to boost agricultural growth. As a result, agriculture
achieved a growth rate of 3.8 per cent, at the end of
the Plan period, surpassing the population growth rate
of 2.6 per cent. The impressive achievement was the
result of institutional changes, expanded use of essential
inputs such as water, fertilizers, quality seeds and
pesticides. Favorable weather conditions also helped
the process. The production of food crops recorded an
annual increase of 3.7 per cent during the Second Plan
as against 3.2 per cent in the First Plan. The rise
in cash crops was more pronounced, as it went up by
11 per cent per annum as against 4.5 per cent in the
preceding Plan period. Total production of principal
crops registered an annual growth of 4.7 per cent.
The Third Five-Year Plan (1965-70) envisaged a growth
rate target of 5 per cent for the agriculture sector,
but the actual achievement surpassed the 6 per cent
mark. The production of food crops recorded an increase
of 7.6 per cent while cash crops registered a rise of
7 per cent per annum. The total production of principal
crops registered an increase of 9.1 per cent. This was
the period of Green Revolution in Pakistan.
But the tempo could not be maintained in the subsequent
years and the annual growth rate of agriculture declined
to 1.7 per cent during the 1970-78 period. The post-1970
war conditions, unfavorable weather throughout most
of this period, heavy floods in 1973, the mishap of
Tarbela Dam in 1974-75, untimely and heavy rainfall
in 1975~76 and scanty rains during 1976-77 were the
main factors responsible for the sluggish growth in
agriculture during this period.
The situation, however, improved after 1977, as weather
conditions improved and Tarbela Dam began operating
efficiently. Meanwhile, the policy of support prices
for major agricultural products and subsidies on agricultural
inputs started paying dividends. Besides, the new government
mounted strenuous efforts to break the stagnation in
the agricultural sector. Timely and adequate availability
of essential inputs to the farmers was ensured. Procurement
and support prices of important crops such as wheat,
paddy, sugarcane and cotton were regularly revised upwards.
Subsidies on fertilizers, seeds and installations of
tubewells were regularly rationalised. The government
also provided increased facilities on easy terms to
the farmers. Small farmers were given interest-free
loans and ceilings of such loans were regularly revised
upwards. Water management program was undertaken in
irrigated zones to cut down water losses in transition.
All this resulted in the achievement of 4.4 per cent
growth rate in agriculture per annum during the 1978-83
period. However, in 1983-84, the first year of the Sixth
Five-Year Plan, agriculture sector suffered a major
set-back and a negative growth rate of 6 per cent was
experienced. In 1984-85, the growth rate, however, surpassed
all records. It rose to 12 per cent in that year. In
the following year, i.e., 1985-86, the growth rate was
6.5 per cent. Bumper cotton crops were harvested in
1984-85 (5.9 million bales) and in 1985-86 (7.1 million
bales). Wheat production also increased by 19 per cent
in 1985-86. The high rates of growth reflect both favorable
weather conditions and satisfactory availability of
key agricultural inputs. In 1985-86, water availability
went up to 103.36 million acre feet from 96.45 million
acre feet in 1981-82, credit disbursements from Rs.
5,269.11 million in 1981-82 to Rs. 11,174.00 million
in 1985-86, tractors imported from 19,293 in 1981-82
to 28,500 in 1985-86 and fertilizer off take from 1,080,000
nutrient tons in 1981-82 to 1,512,000 nutrient tons
in 1985-86.
The improvement has also its reflections on the field.
The total cultivated area rose from 14.69 million hectares
in 1947-48 to 20.34 million hectares (estimates) in
1985-86, while the cropped area increased from 11.63
million hectares to 20.06 million hectares (estimates)
during the period. About 77 per cent of the total cropped
area is under food crops, while the remaining 23 per
cent of the total cropped area was under cash crops
in 1985-86. The total area under principal crops which
stood at
9.3 million hectares in 1947-48 increased to 16.17 million
hectares (estimates) in 1985-86. Production of major
crops which stood at 11.4 million tons in 1947-48 rose
to 54.37 million tons in 1985-86. Of the total production,
wheat alone contributed 25.6 per cent in
1985-86.
Industry
For over three decades, manufacturing has grown at
an average annual rate of around 8 per cent, while GDP
has grown at 5.2 per cent. As a result, manufacturing
output has risen from 7.8 per cent of GDP in 1949-50
to 19.9 per cent of GDP in 1985-86. But this was not
a smooth going all the way. At the time of independence,
Pakistan had very little industrial capacity. Whatever
capacity was there, comprised largely a few agro-based
units such as flour and rice mills and cotton ginning
factories. There were no credit organisations nor were
there any technical institutes or research laboratories.
In the Industrial Policy announced for the first time
in 1949, the private sector was assigned the key role
and except for the defense and strategic industries,
the industrial field was thrown open to this sector.
To supplement the efforts of the private sector, the
Government set up in 1950 Pakistan Industrial Development
Corporation (PIDC) which was assigned the task of establishing
such industries which the private sector could not undertake
because they were either capital intensive or technologically
complex. The meet the credit requirements of the private
sector industries, the Pakistan Industrial Credit and
Investment Corporation (PICIC) was set up in 1958. The
commercial banks also started to extend credit facilities
to the industrial sector.
In the subsequent years, an intense industrial activity
was mounted and by 1969-70, the number of cotton textile
units increased from 72 to 100, sugar plants from 6
to 20, cement plants from 6 to 9, fertilizer units from
1 to 4, vegetable ghee factories from 11 to 19, cigarette
plants from 8 to 15, cycle tyre and tube units from
3 to 18.
In January 1972, 32 private sector industries were
taken over by the Government under the Economic Reforms
Order. The nationalisation bid had its adverse effects
on the private sector which resulted in the decline
of annual growth rate in the manufacturing sector to
the lowest level of 2.8 per cent during the 1970-71
to 1976-77 period.
After 1977, the country’s industrial activity
resumed with a new vigor after a categorical assurance
from the new Government that there would be no more
nationalisation. Under the Industrial Policy statement
of
1984, industries are being deregulated, industrial
incentives are being rationalised, private investment
is being encouraged and a new emphasis is being given
to the promotion of small industries. While the small-scale
sector accounts for only 28.2 per cent of manufacturing
output, its share in employment is 80.9 per cent. The
creation of a job in large-scale manufacturing costs
about 80 times more than the cost in small-scale manufacturing.
However, the improved atmosphere has led to a 22.1 percent
average annual growth in private manufacturing investment
at constant prices since 1982-83 Investment sanctions
are up by 83 per’ cent since then.
By 1985-86, Pakistan has become self-sufficient in
a number of essential products — cotton textiles,
cement, vegetable ghee, sugar, fertilizers and steel.
The production of cotton yarn increased by 9 per cent
in 1985-86 over that of the previous year. The total
capacity of vegetable ghee and cooking oil installed
and under installation comes to 916,400 tones per year.
There are 39 sugar mills in the country. The cement
industry was de-regulated in 1985, while two new industries
in the private sector have started production, raising
the total installed capacity in the country to 5.7 million
tons. At present, the total installed capacity of fertilizer
is 1,117 million nutrient tons which is being fully
utilized. Pakistan Steel, set up at a cost of Rs. 24,700
million, is an integrated steel mill with a capacity
of 1.1 million tones per year of raw steel. The mill
has a built-in potential to expand annual production
capacity to 2.2 million tones. After going into production
in December, 1984, the mill produced during 1985-86,
612 thousand tones of coke, 875 thousand tones of pig
iron, 307 thousand tones of billets and 341 thousand
tones of rolled sheets/coils/plates. Thirty-two downstream
projects of Pakistan Steel ~have also been proposed
for implementation by the private sector. Three projects,
including one for production of wire rods and baling
hoops and two pipe-manufacturing plants, have already
gone into production. Another three projects are in
various advanced stages of completion, while the remaining
downstream projects are in different stages of planning
and implementation.
Energy
At the time of independence, the country had very limited
energy supplies. The overall energy mix was largely
made up of low quality coal and imported oil. Hydro-electric
power generation was available but in a very limited
capacity. Net energy supply was of the order of mere
0.6 MTOE. Percentage share of each source was:
Coal 59.1%, Oil 37.8% and the rest 3.1% was hydroelectric
power.
In early 1950s natural gas was discovered at Sui and
the pattern of energy supply started changing. Thereafter,
few more gas fields were found and some oil discoveries
were also made. Large hydro-electric power stations
were established at Warsak, Mangla and Tarbela Dams.
Thereby, production of hydro-electric energy increased
many times. In 1973, a 137 MW Nuclear Power Station
was also established at Karachi to join the energy supply
sources.
In 1985-86, total energy supply in the country was
18.6 MTOE. Percentage share of each of the component
source was: Gas 35.6%,Oil 39%, Hydel 17.7%, Coal 6.8%,
Nuclear 0.48% and Liquefied Petroleum Gas 0.42%.
Oil
At present, total production of crude oil is approx.
39,300 barrels per day from 13 oil fields which have
been so far discovered. Whereas the total estimated
oil potential of the country is approximately 53 billion
barrels. Domestic crude oil production meets approx.
26 per cent of the total requirement of the country.
The sectoral consumption pattern during 1985-86 was:
Domestic 10.8%, Industrial 14.8%, Agriculture 3.7%,
Power 14.3%, Transport 47.3% and others 9.1%. It shows
that transport sector consumed almost half of oil supplies.
Gas
Production and supply of gas at the end of 1985-86
was 380 billion cubic feet. Gas was supplied from 6
main fields. The total recoverable reserves of natural
gas are estimated at 123 trillion cubic feet. The sectoral
consumption pattern during 1985-86 was as follows: Domestic
13,2%, Commercial 3.1%, Industrial 56.6% and power 26.9%.
Coal
Estimated production of coal in the country during
1985-86 was 2.82 milllion tons. Two new coal fields
are being developed in lower Sindh. One of them is Lakhra.
Electricity
The total installed power generating capacity in the
country increased to 6,204 MW at the end of 1985-86.
Out of this, 610 MWs were added during 1985-86. Hydel
power constituted almost 60 per cent of WAPDA’s
total capacity.
The demand of power in the country rose to 4,671 MW
during 1985-86. Due to seasonal variation of water in
reservoirs of the major dams and due .to the restrictions
on the water releases from these dams, the hydel power
is considerably reduced in winter, resulting in a shortfall
in the supply of power. During 1985-86 too, there was
a shortfall in demand-supply position during winter.
Hence limited load-shedding was resorted to.
During 1985-86, both WAPDA and KESC genera. ted 26,249
MKWH of energy. The consumption was 19,029 MKWH. The
sectoral consumption pattern was:
Domestic 39.8%, Commercial 7.9%, Industrial 38.8%,
Agricultural 15.2% and others 7.3%. It shows that each
of domestic and industrial sector accounted for almost
40% of the total consumption. 26.4% and 22.6% were the
losses for WAPDA and KESC respectively during 1985-86.
Village Electrification
At the end of 1976-77 only 6,011 villages were electrified
in the country. At the end of 1985-86 the number of
villages, electrified rose to 22,917.
Renewable Energy
Resources
Pakistan realised the importance of utilising and developing
renewable sources of energy after the energy crises
of 1973 and had launched systematic program for tapping
these sources. The following sources of energy are being
developed.
Biogas
The first biogas unit was installed in 1974 to demonstrate
the utility of biogas technology. A national program
was launched in 1980-8 1. So far, 2,521 units have been
installed free of cost. In the second phase, costs were
shared with the beneficiaries and 1,337 units were installed.
In the third phase, the cost of the installation of
biogas units is to be borne entirely by the users, although
government will continue to give subsidy to the deserving
people. Solar Energy
Located in the latitudinal range of 470 north and 400
south, Pakistan has a lot of sunshine. Pakistan has
developed a practical strategy for heating, cooking,
electrifying and water pumping to tap this energy. Both
solar thermal and solar photovoltaic systems are being
used. Four solar units with a total capacity of about
90 MWP, are already operating. Nine more solar systems,
with a total capacity of 225 KWP, are in different stages
of completion. Two of these systems are located in Northern
Areas, three in Baluchistan, two in the remote desert
areas of Sindh and two in Punjab.
Wind Energy
Low velocity windmills are being developed in the country
for water pumping to develop dairy farming and to meet
limited irrigation requirements. A total of 100 small
windmills are at various stages of installation in the
country. Two windmills in the windy regions of Baluchistan
and lower Sindh are being installed for power generation
with the financial assistance of UNDP.
Policy
In order to promote optimal utilisation of available
energy resources, a number of steps have been taken.
These include creating additional refining capacity
and enhancing the energy efficiency of National ftefinery
Ltd., reducing losses in the power transmission and
distribution network, establishing organisations for
strengthening energy planning capability and energy
conservation (ENERPLAN and ENERCON). Under the Prime
Minister’s Economic and Social Program, 90 percent
of the villages will be electrified by 1990. Moreover,
a program has been chalked out to eliminate load. shedding
upto 1990.
Transport and
Communications
In Pakistan, roads dominate inland transport for both
Passengers and freight and will continue to be the most
important mode of transport in future. Out of 114.0
billion passenger kilometers of total traffic in 1985-86
(excluding air traffic), roads carried 85 per cent and
railways 15 per cent. Of an estimated 37.4 billion ton
kilometer freight (excluding air freight and bulk transport
of coal and oil through pipeline) roads carried 77 per
cent and rail 23 per cent.
The existing classified road network (excluding city
streets) has a total length of 103,578 kilometers of
which 43,646 kilometers are black-topped by width. Special
emphasis is being laid on the rehabilitation and improvement
of the existing road network and construction of new
roads, especially farm to market roads.
The railways have not been able to play a greater role
because of persistent problems of old and worn-out assets,
outdated machinery and lack of operational efficiency.
Freight carried by railways has declined from 13 million
tones in 1977-78 to 11 million tones in 1984-85. Annual
passenger traffic in the late 1970s was around 145 million.
Pakistan Railways is, however, increasing its operational
efficiency, reducing arrears of replacements, modernising
existing equipment, telecommunication and related signaling
systems and streamlining operational techniques.
Pakistan has only one general cargo port at Karachi
handling 7.552 million tones of dry, including general,
cargo in 1985-86. The second port, Port Qasim which
is the first bulk, semi-bulk and industrial port of
the country, is situated 53 kilometers south-east of
Karachi port and is nearing completion.
The fleet strength of Pakistan National Shipping Corporation
(PNSC) is 29 vessels with a deadweight tonnage of 449,983.
The ships ply on the following routes from Pakistan:
(i) USA/Canada-East Coast (ii) UK! Continent (iii) Far
East (iv) People’s Republic of China (v) Mediterranean
(vi) Middle East/Gulf (vii) Red Sea (viii) Adriatic/Black
Sea and (ix) West Africa.
The air traffic is covered by the country’s national
airlines — Pakistan International Airlines (PIA)
which handled passenger traffic in revenue passenger-kilometers
of 7,166 during 1985-86 as against 6,918 million revenue
passenger kilometers in the year 1984-85. Passenger
capacity in available seat-kilometers increased by 4.5
percent over the period from 10,480 million to 10,699
million. Regarding weight, 311 revenue freight tones
kilometers were handled in 1985-86 as against 293 revenue
freight tones kilometers in 1984~85. On March 31, 1986,
NA’s fleet of aircraft consisted of 46 planes
—six Boeing-747s, two DC-10—30s, eight Airbus
A300 B4, eight Boeing 707s, one Boeing 720B, six Boeing
737— 300s, 10 Fokker F—27s, two Twin Otters
and four Cessna trainers. PTA is currently flying to
38 international and 30 domestic stations. Communications
In March 1986, Pakistan had a total number of 12,006
post offices which rose to 12,053 by June, 1986. 2,626
post offices were in urban areas, while 9,380 were in
rural areas. In March, the number of telegraph offices
and telephones was 387 and 6,30,500 respectively, while
the number of public call offices 2,428. Pakistan is
linked with 35 countries through the Satellite Communication
System. The total number of overseas channels via satellite
are 749, out of which 715 are speech circuits. The total
number of record circuits via satellite is 22. About
210 telephone circuits were added via satellite communication
during 1985-86. The total duration of outward telephone
traffic was 10,722 thousand paid minutes for the period
between July, 1985 to June, 1986.
Mass Media
By March 1986, the number of licensed radio sets increased
in the country to 1,017,478 from a mere 45,000 in 1947-48.
Regular television services were introduced in Pakistan
in early 1960s. The number of licensed T.V. sets rose
from 74,344 in 1968-69 to 11,5 7,804 by December 1985,
while the number of VCR sets is 1,46,924.
With 16 broadcasting stations and 39 short-wave and
medium-wave transmitters and with a total radiating
power of 3433 KW, Pakistan Broadcasting Corporation
(Radio Pakistan) is providing more than 270 hours’
daily programs in the home services and 30.5 hours of
programs in the external and world services.
With its five main program-originating centers, 12
rebroadcast centers, three super high frequency links,
five translator centers and one low-power transmitter,
Pakistan Television (PTV) is telecasting eight and-a-half
hours of programs daily. Besides regular programs, PTV
is also telecasting educational programs.
Trade and Commerce
Pakistan inherited a crisis-ridden trade and commerce
sector at the time of independence. The share of trade
and commerce in the national income was only nine per
cent in 1948 compared to corresponding figure of 19
per cent in India. The early commercial policies were
aimed at keeping a regular inflow of consumer goods
and raw materials for the newly emerging industries.
The volume of this inflow was controlled by the country’s
foreign exchange earning capacity and the quantum of
external assistance. Upto the middle of 1952 the situation
was comfortable due to sterling balances and foreign
exchange earnings received during the Korean War of
1950-51. However, by the end of 1952, the foreign exchange
reserves had fallen steeply and all commodities and
goods were brought under import licensing.
It was about this time that Pakistan saw the introduction
of trade policies which aimed at boosting exports and
encouraging import substitution industries. The Pakistani
currency was devalued in 1955 to encourage exports and
discourage imports. In 1959, Export Bonus Scheme was
introduced which was withdrawn in 1972. It covered ‘all
items except major primary commodities. However, changes
were made in it from time to time till its withdrawal
in May, 1972. The momentum of export efforts was also
sustained by taking several institutional steps including
the introduction of Export Credit.
With Guarantee Scheme and Export Market Development
Fund, establishment of Trading Corporation of Pakistan
and opening of trade offices in a number of foreign
countries, the exports increased from Rs. 542.4 million
in 1948-49 to Rs. 3,371.4 million in 1971-72, while
imports increased from Rs. 1,176.8 million to Rs. 3,495.4
million during the same period.
In May 1972, the rupee was devalued to the extent of
131 per cent. This provided windfall profits to exporters
and caused losses to importers. The devaluation restricted
imports and helped increased exports initially. Thereafter,
imports started increasing at a much faster rate than
exports and by 1976-77, imports shot up from Rs. 8,398
million in 1972-73 to Rs. 23,012 million, while exports
increased from Rs. 8,551 million in 1972-73 to Rs. 11,294
million in 1976-77. The overall balance of payments
deficit increased from 131 million dollars in 1972-73
to 1,051 million dollars in 1976-77, the year in which
the foreign exchange reserves also declined by 252 million
dollars.
The post-77 Government adopted a firm policy of boosting
exports and encouraging the establishment and expansion
of import substitution industries. The policy has been
given a new impetus by the elected government. Consequently,
export earnings increased from Rs. 11,294 million in
1976-77 to Rs. 29,280 million in 1980-81 and further
rose to Rs. 49,592 million in 1985-
86. The import and export policies of the present elected
government are geared towards increasing agricultural
and industrial production, expanding employment opportunities
and promotion of exports. To back up high growth in
the industrial sector, liberal imports of machinery,
spare parts, agricultural inputs and industrial raw
materials have been allowed. At the same time, the import
of merchandise which are considered to be competing
with the national industries are being discouraged.
Edible oil, POL, fertilizers, tea, chemicals, drugs
and medicines, machinery and transport equipment remain
the main items of import. The import bill rose from
Rs. 23,012 million in 1976-77 to Rs. 53,544 million
in 1980-81 and further to Rs. 89,778 million in 1984-85.
Efforts are however, being made to contain imports through
enhancement of domestic production in the fields of
oil, energy, fertilizers, food grains and engineering
goods.
The country gets generous aid from the OPEC countries
bilaterally as well as through the international agencies,
including the Islamic Development Bank and the OPEC
Fund for Development. Besides, Pakistan is a regular
recipient of aid from the World Bank and the World Bank
sponsored Aid-to-Pakistan Consortium comprising the
developed countries. The IMF also provides aid as a
balance of payments support under various arrangements.
Pakistan has achieved, in recent years, a good growth
rate of over six per cent reaching the highest mark
of 7.5 per cent in 1985-86. The unusually high growth
rate was accompanied by remarkable price stability.
The average inflation rate dropped to 5.2 per cent in
1985-86, the lowest in over a decade. Meanwhile, the
country’s economy has undergone radical structural
changes. Islamisation of economy is going on at a rapid
pace. The interest-free banking, Zakat and Ushr system,
introduced in Pakistan in recent years, are not only
working satisfactorily in the country but are also being
keenly observed in the world. The IMF has recently conducted
a survey of the interest-free banking system and it
has come to the conclusion that the system gives most
viable basis of banking. Similarly, Zakat and Ushr systems
are being considered at various international forums.
Regulatory reforms of the economy are also in progress.
A number of industries, including edible oil and fertilizers,
were deregulated by May, 1986.
Economic Outlook
To sum up, after 39 years of turbulent existence, material
prosperity has brought Pakistan to the threshold of
becoming a “middle-income country”. With
a per capita income of Rs. 5,340 in 1985-86, the distribution
of income in Pakistan is now better than in many countries,
rich and poor, of the world. According to World Bank
figures, Pakistan’s per capita income of US dollars
390 in 1983 was exceeded only by countries accounting
for about 52.2 per cent of the world’s population.
Over the last eight years, Pakistan’s economy
has exhibited strength. In difficult international circumstances,
and under both adverse and favorable natural conditions,
a sustained increase in per capita income and living
standards has been maintained, without unduly straining
the country’s domestic and external finances.
The major task of economic management in 1985-86 was
to provide a stable economic environment during an year
of significant political transition. At the same time,
the Prime Minister has announced his Five. Point program
(1986-90) which provides for both continuity and change
in the policy directions outlined in the Sixth Five-Year
Plan (1983-88). The program consists of a comprehensive
rural development strategy, an anti-water logging and
salinity control program, improvement of katchi abadis,
provision of low-income housing and integrated manpower
plan for providing employment to educated youth.

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